- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Twins
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- Watch the game on BSN
The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+100) on Sunday, August 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 73-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 62-68 ATS.
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -120 |
| Twins | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -115 | +100 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+14.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+14.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jordan Luplow | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Luplow | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Luplow | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 121 games (+21.24 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 121 games (+20.88 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 71 of their last 121 games (+13.57 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.89 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 73-55 against the Run Line (+18.9 Units / 11.89% ROI).
- 73-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 64-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI
- 58-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.72% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 62-68 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -4.54% ROI).
- 67-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 63-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -3.2% ROI
- 61-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -5.15% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
43% of Jordan Montgomery’s fastball strikeouts are located down this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (29/99) against Jordan Montgomery with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has an ERA of 3.12 (147.0 IP)this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.94 — 88th Percentile.
61% of Jordan Montgomery’s called strikeouts are inside this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 94th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to July 18th — Joe Ryan has the longest active streak at 8.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (996/1,288) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 87% of the time (349/401) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .394 (28 GB hits out of 71 GBs) against Bailey Ober with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 1-128 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are 22-16 (.579) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Rangers are just 0-47 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rangers are just 1-41 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 27-9 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Twins are 123-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Twins are 55-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .497 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .847 (2,531 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Rangers are batting .269 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .823 (1,306 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,023 strikeouts in 3,685 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have been successful in 92% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .300 (635 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 226 of 2,586 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 5 of 108 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 77 of 1,163 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D15
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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