- The White Sox (27-30) are -140 favorites vs the Rangers (27-31)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (1-3), 5.283 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (2-2), 1.941 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Texas Rangers (+115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-140) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Rangers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 27-31 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 25-32 ATS.
Rangers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -115 | +115 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -105 | -140 |
Rangers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 10 away games (+2.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 29 games at home (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+12.15 Units / 135% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.25 Units / 138% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.40 Units / 99% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 45 games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 19 games (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games (+3.58 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+14.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.90 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 38 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 34-24 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 8.04% ROI).
- 27-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.88% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -7.2% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.31% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 25-32 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -10.03% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -2.13% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (8/39) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (31/167) against Jon Gray this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 27% — fifth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (180/906) against Jon Gray since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (10/43) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (23/119) against Keegan Thompson this season — tied for 13th lowest among among 106 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 13th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .152 (7-for-46) against Keegan Thompson on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .245 — 92nd Percentile.
59% of Keegan Thompson’s strikeouts are looking against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Keegan Thompson has struck out just 15% (17/112) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 14th lowest among among 112 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 12th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Rangers are 4-23 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rangers are just 25-27 (.481) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Rangers are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Cubs are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Cubs are just 6-27 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Cubs are just 11-20 (.355) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 174 walks in 2,588 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .300 (3,976 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (3,273 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rangers are batting just .214 with two outs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .368 (51 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Cubs have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 53 of 516 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Hamstring, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Michael Lynn (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Groin, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
- Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
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