- The White Sox are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez, 3.00 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jesse Scholtens, 4.50 ERA
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Chicago White Sox (-125) on Saturday, March 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rangers vs White Sox Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rangers are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 4-3 ATS.
Rangers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | O 11 +100 | +105 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 11 -120 | -125 |
Rangers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 111% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nick Solak has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.10 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.30 Units / 108% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.25 Units / 54% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 away games (+8.68 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 114% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 4-2 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 29.75% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 28.78% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -49.62% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 4-3 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 19.18% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez walked 35 of 288 batters (12%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (404/767) with two-strikes last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 44% (1,091/2,504) against Martin Perez last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
77% of Martin Perez’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rangers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 34-47 (.420) at home last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,250 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (9,712 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .295 (4,219 PA’s) against RHP last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters drew 39 walks in 771 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .476 (312 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
White Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
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