- The Rangers are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Watch the game on YES
The Texas Rangers (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Friday, June 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rangers vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 46-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 40-35 ATS.
Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+18.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+14.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+13.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+11.80 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Billy McKinney has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Yankees vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 66 games (+30.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 66 games (+27.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 66 games (+24.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 66 games (+24.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 47-27 against the Run Line (+21.5 Units / 23.13% ROI).
- 46-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.75 Units / 13.16% ROI
- 41-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.25 Units / 10.12% ROI
- 30-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -15 Units / -18.4% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 40-35 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 6.55% ROI).
- 41-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 32-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.85 Units / -15.7% ROI
- 41-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 6.59% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of just .156 (77 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strike rate of just 54% (503/926) on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 30% (39 SO in 130 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (47/262) against Dane Dunning this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) versus Chris Bassitt in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (5/55) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 17% (52/298) against Chris Bassitt in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 26% (190/745) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 98-16 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Rangers are 13-7 (.650) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
The Rangers are just 50-37 (.575) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Rangers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 27-45 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees are 48-80 (.375) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Yankees are 85-20 (.810) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Yankees are 12-9 (.571) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .300 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .851 (1,433 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rangers hitters have a groundball batting average of .293 with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rangers hitters are slugging .496 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 218 walks in 2,065 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 597 of their 2,739 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Yankees are batting just .219 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 195 of 2,101 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Rangers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.18 (1119.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Yankees vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
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