Rangers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Rangers are -140 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino
  • Watch the game on YES

The Texas Rangers (-140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+120) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Rangers vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are ATS.

Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +115O 9 -115-140
Yankees +1.5 -135U 9 -105+120

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 63.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+17.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Billy McKinney has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Billy McKinney has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 46% ROI)

Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Nate Lowe 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Billy McKinney 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Leody Taveras 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Nate Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Billy McKinney 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Leody Taveras 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Yankees vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Nate Lowe 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Billy McKinney 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Leody Taveras 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Severino 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Jon Gray 5.5 +100 5.5 -130
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 66 games (+30.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 66 games (+27.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 66 games (+24.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 66 games (+24.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Opponents are hitting just .150 (23-for-153) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (26/77) against Jon Gray in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (34/104) against Jon Gray this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.

Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .694 (25 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 36% (144/403) against Luis Severino with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 40% — fourth Percentile.

69% of Luis Severino’s called strikeouts are low since last season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 94th Percentile.

Luis Severino has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 26 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .125 (35-for-281) against Luis Severino with two-strikes since last season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 95th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 98-16 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.

The Rangers are just 50-37 (.575) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Rangers are just 1-103 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Rangers are just 4-94 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 27-45 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Yankees are 12-9 (.571) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Yankees are 32-30 (.516) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .355.

Rangers hitters are slugging .319 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .596 (1,553 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .825 (794 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.

The Rangers have scored 192 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn 218 walks in 2,071 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Yankees are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .215 (93 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 197 of 2,111 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Rangers have allowed 4.00 runs per game (300/75) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Yankees pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.73 (1002.2 IP) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .225.

Yankees vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
  • James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.