- The Rangers are -105 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on YES
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-115) on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 47-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 41-36 ATS.
Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -110 | -105 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -110 | -115 |
Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+16.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+14.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Billy McKinney has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Billy McKinney has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Yankees vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -135 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 68 games (+29.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 68 games (+27.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 68 games (+25.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 68 games (+21.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 68 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 75 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 48-28 against the Run Line (+22 Units / 23.17% ROI).
- 47-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.3 Units / 12.42% ROI
- 41-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 7.29% ROI
- 32-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -13 Units / -15.52% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 41-36 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 5.66% ROI).
- 42-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 3.58% ROI
- 32-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -17.86% ROI
- 43-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 8.76% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .237 (186 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (45/291) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (38/257) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of just .186 (21 Total Bases / 113 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 94th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
56% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .613 (399 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .699 — 94th Percentile.
52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (274/400) this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 90th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 98-16 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are 13-7 (.650) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Rangers are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Rangers are just 1-18 (.053) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 27-45 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Yankees are 32-30 (.516) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .355.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 12-76 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .362 (797 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 66 times (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .827 (797 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Rangers have scored 192 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .215 (93 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Yankees hitters have drawn 218 walks in 2,071 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 84% of their games (59.2% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers have won 58% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 197 of 2,119 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (2140.2 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Yankees pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
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