Rangers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 20

Brett Gardner Yankees
(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
  • The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Rangers / Yankees TV Channel: RASN | YES

The Texas Rangers (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Tuesday, May 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Rangers are 25-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 23-23 ATS.

Rangers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 3-2, 3.38 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 2-2, 4.61 ERA

Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -120O 8.5 -102+155
Yankees -1.5 +100U 8.5 -118-190

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+17.70 Units / 253% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.97 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+5.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.36 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 26-21 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 3.38% ROI).

  • 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.24% ROI
  • 15-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -37.64% ROI
  • 32-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.35 Units / 28.75% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 23-23 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 5.31% ROI).

  • 27-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.6% ROI
  • 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -8.12% ROI
  • 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.08 Units / -0.16% ROI

Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +195 0.5 -235
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Joc Pederson (TEX) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger (NYY) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
DJ LeMahieu (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Yankees vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Cody Bellinger (NYY) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Corbin (TEX) 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

Right-handed batters are hitting .305 (207-for-678) against Patrick Corbin since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .235 (78-for-332) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .231 (93-for-402) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — second Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .851 (740 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .655 — second Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 39% of Will Warren’s pitches (293/751) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Will Warren has a in-zone of just 42% (75/179) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (172/508) against Will Warren in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (59/190) against Will Warren on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 20-30 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Rangers are 84-52 (.618) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Yankees (third best runs scored) today.

The Rangers are 49-10 (.831) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .748.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees are 50-29 (.633) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rangers (20th best runs allowed) today.

The Yankees are 59-16 (.787) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .635.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 25% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers hitters drew 165 walks in 1,624 PA’s (10%) against LHP in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .429 (224 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Yankees are batting .344 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .184 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.