Rangers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 5

New York Yankees' Austin Wells reacts after hitting a three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium Monday, Sept. 9, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig
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  • The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Yankees TV Channel: RASN | YES

The Texas Rangers (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-130) on May 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Rangers are 16-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 21-14 ATS.

Rangers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 2-1, 2.01 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz 0-1, 4.91 ERA

Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -220O 8.5 -118+110
Yankees -1.5 +165U 8.5 -102-130

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+10.90 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.50 Units / 215% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 away games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.15 Units / 90% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 16-17 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -8.52% ROI).

  • 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -8.65% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -20.82% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 13.61% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 21-14 against the Run Line (+9.8 Units / 25.89% ROI).

  • 24-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 7.95% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -7.04% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.94% ROI

Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +195
Ben Rice +270
Trent Grisham +340
Jazz Chisholm Jr. +360
Jake Burger +375

Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jake Burger 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Ben Rice 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Evan Carter 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Jasson Dominguez 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Rice 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jasson Dominguez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jose Caballero 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Elmer Rodriguez 3.5 -165 3.5 +125

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 0-10 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Rangers are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Rangers are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Rangers are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 6-2 (.750) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rangers (fourth in runs allowed).

The Yankees are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Yankees are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Yankees are 35-25 (.583) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Rangers (fourth in runs allowed).

Rangers hitters are slugging just .285 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .566 (325 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .221 against LHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .653 (3,455 PA’s) at home since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 123 extra-base hits out of 279 total hits (44%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,115 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (884.0 IP) at home since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (1741.0 IP) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.73 (135.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.28 (157.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.50 runs per game (45/18) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (310.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.