Rangers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 6

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  • The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Texas Rangers (+165) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-200) on May 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Rangers are 16-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 22-14 ATS.

Rangers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 3-4, 4.73 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 4-0, 2.41 ERA

Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -135O 8.5 -105+165
Yankees -1.5 +110U 8.5 -115-200

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+9.90 Units / 124% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 23 away games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+13.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 91% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 16-18 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -12.12% ROI).

  • 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -17.68% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 10.2% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 22-14 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 29.47% ROI).

  • 25-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 9.44% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -4.31% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -4.77% ROI

Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +210
Ben Rice +270
Trent Grisham +333
Corey Seager +340
Jazz Chisholm Jr. +360

Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Corey Seager 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Josh Jung 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ben Rice 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Aaron Judge 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan McMahon 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Corey Seager 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Trent Grisham 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Rangers are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rangers are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .890.

The Rangers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 7-2 (.778) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rangers (fourth in runs allowed).

The Yankees are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Yankees are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Yankees are 17-7 (.708) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .285 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .566 (332 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (2,004 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .356 at home since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .458 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 85 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .794 (2,124 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .892 (570 PA’s) with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.54 (1749.0 IP) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (884.0 IP) at home since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Rangers have allowed 3.04 runs per game (292/96) at home since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.50 runs per game (45/18) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.28 (157.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.