Rangers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 7

New York Yankees' Jazz Chisholm Jr. reacts after connecting for a solo home run against the Toronto Blue Jays during the fifth inning of Game 3 of baseball's American League Division Series, Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
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  • The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Yankees TV Channel: RASN | YES | ESUN

The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on May 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Rangers are 17-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 22-15 ATS.

Rangers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-2, 4.68 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn 1-1, 3.22 ERA

Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -170O 8.5 -105+125
Yankees -1.5 +140U 8.5 -115-150

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+19.40 Units / 277% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 24 away games (+2.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 17-18 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -9.77% ROI).

  • 17-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -6.97% ROI
  • 14-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -19.95% ROI
  • 20-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 12.45% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 22-15 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 26.22% ROI).

  • 25-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 6.42% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -6.91% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -2.2% ROI

Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +195
Ben Rice +300
Corey Seager +350
Jake Burger +390
Paul Goldschmidt +425

Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Jung 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Corey Seager 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Austin Wells 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Trent Grisham 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Rangers are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Rangers are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Yankees are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Yankees are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .280 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .197 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .559 (338 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 29% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 85 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .110 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 88 extra-base hits out of 206 total hits (43%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 130 extra-base hits out of 291 total hits (45%) this season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.73 (135.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Rangers have allowed 1.06 runs per game (38/36) in late innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.28 (157.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.50 runs per game (45/18) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.07 (328.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.