• The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Astros
• Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Rays / Astros TV Channel: RATV | SCHN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-110) on July 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rays are 52-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 43-47 ATS.

Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 7-4, 2.44 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-0, 1.80 ERA

Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+18.65 Units / 187% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 60% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Taylor Trammell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.40 Units / 192% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+15.30 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 72% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+3.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 51-34 against the Run Line (+23.65 Units / 22.84% ROI).

• 52-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.7 Units / 12.91% ROI
• 37-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -12.2% ROI
• 44-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 3.03% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 43-47 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -9.18% ROI).

• 43-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -6.13% ROI
• 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 4.18% ROI
• 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.4 Units / -13.72% ROI

Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rays are 35-16 (.686) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Rays are 9-26 (.257) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Rays are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

The Rays are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Astros are 32-2 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Astros are just 4-40 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Astros are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 216 extra-base hits out of 738 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rays are batting .205 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .281 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Astros are batting just .231 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 124 total hits (46%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH this season (2,152 balls in play) — tied for 3rd best in MLB

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 68% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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