Rays vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 02, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (103-55) are -165 favorites vs the Rays (86-72)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (10-9), 4.35 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (14-8), 3.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rays vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 86-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 84-74 ATS.

Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -150O 7.5 -120+140
Astros -1.5 +125U 7.5 +100-165

Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 75 games at home (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+14.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 51 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Justin Verlander has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Christian Yelich 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 +1050 0.5
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Kolten Wong 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Christian Yelich 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 -105 0.5 -140
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Kolten Wong 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Christian Yelich 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Kolten Wong 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pablo Lopez 5.5 -155 5.5 +110
Luis Garcia 5.5 -140 5.5 +100
Corey Kluber 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 away games (+5.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 93 of their last 145 games (+30.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 156 games (+23.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 142 games (+18.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 139 games (+15.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.28% ROI).

  • 86-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -1.83% ROI
  • 70-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -8% ROI
  • 78-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.2% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 84-74 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 5.72% ROI).

  • 103-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 4.85% ROI
  • 59-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.75 Units / -21.81% ROI
  • 89-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.3 Units / 13.31% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (180/503) against Corey Kluber this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Corey Kluber has walked 20 of 668 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 30% (235/776) against Corey Kluber in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has walked 2 of 193 batters (1%) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .853 (58 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .426 (29-for-68) against Luis Garcia on low fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .276 — second Percentile.

Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .200 (125 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 38% of Luis Garcia’s breaking pitches (382/1,017) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Rays are 88-27 (.765) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Astros are 64-4 (.941) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Astros are 6-41 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Astros are 44-5 (.898) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Astros are 51-30 (.630) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Rays hitters have 2,054 strikeouts in 8,487 PA’s (24%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 64% at home since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 200 double plays in 2,560 opportunities (8%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rays hitters have drawn 240 walks in 2,033 PA’s (12%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Astros hitters have just 690 strikeouts in 3,880 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 310 strikeouts in 1,799 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 13 strikeouts in 103 PA’s (13%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Astros hitters have just 2,373 strikeouts in 12,205 PA’s (19%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays pitchers have walked 810 of 11,797 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 978 of 14,009 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (1474.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.

Rays pitchers have walked 374 of 5,799 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Senger Peralta (Rays): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Yandy Díaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Foot, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.