- The Rays are -200 favorites vs the Athletics
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (-200) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+165) on Thursday, June 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rays vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 49-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 30-40 ATS.
Rays vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -105 | -200 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -115 | +165 |
Rays vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 81.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+11.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+13.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Athletics vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Athletics vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Athletics vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Athletics vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 71 games (+22.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 71 games (+18.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+14.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+12.25 Units / 153% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 69% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 40-31 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 13.59% ROI).
- 49-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.75 Units / 16.13% ROI
- 39-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.85 Units / 8.75% ROI
- 29-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.05 Units / -18.04% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 30-40 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -15.49% ROI).
- 19-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -25.8% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -10.44% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (34/99) against Taj Bradley this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Taj Bradley has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (80/158) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 38% (16 SO in 42 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 32% (52 SO in 164 PAs) this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (5/22) against Paul Blackburn over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (5/22) against Paul Blackburn — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH on the 144 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Paul Blackburn has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (36/46) over the last 14 days (2 games) — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Rays are 21-5 (.808) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .565.
The Rays are 23-6 (.793) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .548.
The Rays are 33-15 (.688) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Rays are 49-22 (.690) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Athletics are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Athletics are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Athletics are just 65-8 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .599 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .874 (539 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rays hitters are slugging .524 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 82% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .609 (4,132 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,280 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have won 71% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rays pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays pitchers have walked 612 of 8,543 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 320 of 2,801 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have allowed 6.75 runs per game (243/36) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Athletics vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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