- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Watch the game on SNET
The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+105) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 13-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 6-7 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -105 | -125 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -115 | +105 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+8.30 Units / 166% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 106% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 50% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 12-1 against the Run Line (+12 Units / 77.67% ROI).
- 13-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 46.6% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 39.44% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -49.31% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -18.36% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 5.09% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 3.2% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -13.7% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OBP of just .071 (42 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .071 (3-for-42) against Drew Rasmussen this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has not walked any of the 42 batters that he has faced this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has a strike rate of 74% (111/149) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios allowed a slugging percentage of .316 (108 Total Bases / 342 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OBP of .343 (797 PA’s) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios allowed a slugging percentage of .410 (153 Total Bases / 373 ABs) when behind in the count in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of just 14% (34/241) against Jose Berrios when he was behind in the count in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 11-105 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 41-52 (.441) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Rays are 37-55 (.402) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Rays are 110-59 (.651) at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 31-26 (.544) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are 18-16 (.529) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays were 34-21 (.618) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 42-36 (.538) when underdogs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .941 (494 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Rays hitters are slugging 1.140 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Rays hitters are slugging .576 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .941 (341 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Blue Jays are batting .269 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Blue Jays are batting .184 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .665 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 851 of 12,384 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents are hitting just .188 against Rays pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,469 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 947 of 12,508 batters (8%) since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 474 of 6,592 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Back, D15
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