- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Calvin Faucher
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on SNET
The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 13-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 7-7 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 10 -115 | +105 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | U 10 -105 | -125 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 90% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.50 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 12-2 against the Run Line (+11 Units / 66.87% ROI).
- 13-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 40.31% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 36.6% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -45.81% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -11.69% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 9.51% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 2.97% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -12.74% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Calvin Faucher has allowed an OPS of .979 (16 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .473 — third Percentile.
Calvin Faucher has a strikeout rate of just 25% (4 SO in 16 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.
Calvin Faucher has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (32/53) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 12% (3/24) against Calvin Faucher this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — seventh Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 50 of 388 right-handed batters (13%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .628 (86 Total Bases / 137 ABs) on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 60% of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitches (311/521) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike 74% (384/521) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 11-106 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 13-1 (.929) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .549.
The Rays are 48-11 (.814) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rays are 61-30 (.670) at home since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 19-16 (.543) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Blue Jays are 37-22 (.627) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 32-26 (.552) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are 43-36 (.544) when underdogs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .920 (530 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .912 (377 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Rays hitters are slugging .563 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Rays hitters are slugging .850 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays hitters have just 286 strikeouts in 1,446 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .288 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 422 of 6,425 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 995 of 14,275 batters (7%) since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 858 of 12,423 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,469 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 475 of 6,628 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (37.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Back, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
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