- The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 13-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 8-7 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -135 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -110 | +115 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 89% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.10 Units / 130% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 12-3 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 51.24% ROI).
- 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 35.66% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 27.83% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -36.64% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -3.46% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 13.21% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -5.93% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has a strike rate of 68% when ahead in the count (10th highest)– 91st Percentile and 54% when behind in the count this season (third lowest among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (53/144) against Shane McClanahan this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 40% (6 SO in 15 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strike rate of 78% (36/46) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .600 (20 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah has thrown his changeup for a strike just 28% (9/32) of the time this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.
Alek Manoah has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (52/115) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (7/32) against Alek Manoah on changeups this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 10-0 (1.000) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Rays are 13-2 (.867) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
The Rays are 11-107 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 10-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 32-26 (.552) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are 38-22 (.633) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 19-16 (.543) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Blue Jays are 43-36 (.544) when underdogs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging 1.069 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .900 (568 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Rays hitters are slugging .548 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rays hitters are slugging .397 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .331 (5,335 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 428 of 6,462 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 995 of 14,275 batters (7%) since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .288 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rays pitchers have walked 864 of 12,460 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 102 of 1,588 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 478 of 6,666 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Back, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
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