- The Blue Jays (43-33) are -150 favorites vs the Rays (40-35)
- Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (3-4), 3.45 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (5-4), 5.86 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-150) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 40-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 34-42 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -150 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games at home (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games at home (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
| Corey Kluber | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 35 games (+18.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+14.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 34-41 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -6.56% ROI).
- 40-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -5.39% ROI
- 33-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 38-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 2.33% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 34-42 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -11.67% ROI).
- 43-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 41-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 3.78% ROI
- 34-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -14.01% ROI
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has a strike rate of 74% (115/155) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
The last hit on a Corey Kluber changeup was April 22nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 22 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Corey Kluber had a strike rate of 75% (47/63) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has an average fastball velocity of just 88.9 MPH this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — fourth Percentile.
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .724 (42 Total Bases / 58 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (16/120) against Jose Berrios with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (17/108) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .508 (160 Total Bases / 315 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Rays are 3-27 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Rays are just 31-3 (.912) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Rays are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 34-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Blue Jays are 24-15 (.615) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Blue Jays are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 34-9 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .443 (1,500 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Rays have scored 1.80 runs per game (422/234) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% at home since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters have 701 strikeouts in 2,930 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays hitters have just 12 strikeouts in 95 PA’s (13%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 127 of 2,134 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 34 of 672 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 628 of 8,748 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 43% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 678 of 8,763 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 205 of 2,847 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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