Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (43-33) are -150 favorites vs the Rays (40-35)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (3-4), 3.45 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (5-4), 5.86 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-150) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 40-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 34-42 ATS.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -155O 8.5 +100+125
Blue Jays -1.5 +125U 8.5 -120-150

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games at home (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games at home (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Bo Bichette 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
George Springer 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Bo Bichette 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Raimel Tapia 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Bo Bichette 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
George Springer 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios 4.5 -125 4.5 -110
Corey Kluber 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 35 games (+18.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+14.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 34-41 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -6.56% ROI).

  • 40-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -5.39% ROI
  • 33-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -9.59% ROI
  • 38-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 2.33% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 34-42 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -11.67% ROI).

  • 43-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -5.17% ROI
  • 41-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 3.78% ROI
  • 34-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -14.01% ROI

Corey Kluber has a strike rate of 74% (115/155) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

The last hit on a Corey Kluber changeup was April 22nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 22 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Corey Kluber had a strike rate of 75% (47/63) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has an average fastball velocity of just 88.9 MPH this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — fourth Percentile.

José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .724 (42 Total Bases / 58 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (16/120) against Jose Berrios with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (17/108) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .508 (160 Total Bases / 315 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — first Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Rays are 3-27 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Rays are just 31-3 (.912) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Rays are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 34-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Blue Jays are 24-15 (.615) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Blue Jays are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 34-9 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .443 (1,500 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Rays have scored 1.80 runs per game (422/234) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% at home since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Rays hitters have 701 strikeouts in 2,930 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Blue Jays hitters have just 12 strikeouts in 95 PA’s (13%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Rays pitchers have walked 127 of 2,134 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 34 of 672 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 628 of 8,748 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 43% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 678 of 8,763 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 205 of 2,847 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.