Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 20

Toronto Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. gestures after hitting a home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
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  • The Blue Jays are -155 favorites vs the Rays
  • Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: RATV | RSN | TVA

The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on July 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Rays are 56-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 47-51 ATS.

Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 6-2, 4.82 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 6-4, 2.57 ERA

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -175O 7.5 -118+125
Blue Jays -1.5 +145U 7.5 -102-155

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.35 Units / 68% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jonatan Clase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+16.00 Units / 229% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 55-42 against the Run Line (+19.25 Units / 16.05% ROI).

  • 56-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 6.32% ROI
  • 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -8.94% ROI
  • 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.32% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 47-51 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -5.56% ROI).

  • 46-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -13.95% ROI
  • 50-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.23% ROI
  • 46-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -7.77% ROI

Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +280
Kazuma Okamoto +310
Daulton Varsho +400
George Springer +425
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +450

Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Chandler Simpson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
George Springer 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kazuma Okamoto 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Richie Palacios 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jonatan Clase 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
George Springer 0.5 -130 0.5 -105

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 21-5 (.808) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Rays are 37-19 (.661) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Rays are 9-33 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Rays are 56-42 (.571) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are just 5-36 (.122) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Blue Jays are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Blue Jays are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Rays hitters are slugging .279 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .200 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .189 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 116 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .279 (875 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,392 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (2,392 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 56 double plays in 725 opportunities (8%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays won just 16% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.