Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 23

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
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  • The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: RATV | RSN | WMOR

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on July 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Rays are 59-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 47-54 ATS.

Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 6-2, 4.82 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Shane Bieber 1-1, 5.71 ERA

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +154O 8.5 -110-110
Blue Jays +1.5 -190U 8.5 -110-110

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+29.50 Units / 369% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+11.40 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.45 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+13.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 58-42 against the Run Line (+23.1 Units / 18.7% ROI).

  • 59-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 8.89% ROI
  • 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -7.87% ROI
  • 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -0.85% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 47-54 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -8.6% ROI).

  • 46-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.2 Units / -16.5% ROI
  • 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.58% ROI
  • 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -8.69% ROI

Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +220
Kazuma Okamoto +240
Jonathan Aranda +380
Cedric Mullins +390
George Springer +390

Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Kazuma Okamoto 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
George Springer 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hunter Feduccia 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Junior Caminero 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 39-19 (.672) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Rays are 49-1 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Rays are 9-33 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Rays are 59-42 (.584) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Blue Jays are just 9-26 (.257) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays are just 9-26 (.257) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .205 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .282 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 117 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .470 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .214 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Rays have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (2,480 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,480 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.