- The Blue Jays (44-35) are -130 favorites vs the Rays (42-36)
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz (0-1), 3.37 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (4-2), 3.12 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 42-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 35-44 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +110 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -130 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – away
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – home
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
| Shane Baz | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 38 games (+19.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 37 games (+17.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 36-42 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -5.8% ROI).
- 42-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 35-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -8.13% ROI
- 39-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.63% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 35-44 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -11.94% ROI).
- 44-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 43-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 4.75% ROI
- 35-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -15.03% ROI
Shane Baz: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 68% (17/25) against Shane Baz — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 69% (11/16) against Shane Baz against right-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Shane Baz had a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (10/21) — 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 61% — eighth Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 7.1 innings pitched — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.2 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (125 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Left-handed batters are hitting just .202 (46-for-228) against Ross Stripling since the start of last season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 91st Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .655 (55 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .423 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 68 of Ross Stripling’s 313 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 17-5 (.773) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .672.
The Rays are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Rays are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .078.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Blue Jays are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .922.
The Blue Jays are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .445 (1,562 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Rays hitters have 706 strikeouts in 2,939 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 303 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays have scored 1.78 runs per game (423/237) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .477 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .679 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 38 of 698 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 131 of 2,160 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 203 of 2,861 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 169 of 2,688 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 213 of 2,971 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 686 of 8,887 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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