- The Blue Jays are -175 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on SN1
The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Friday, March 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rays are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 2-1 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -110 | +145 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -110 | -175 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 52.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 away games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 4-1 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 65.29% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 41.79% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 47.62% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .233 (30-for-129) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen allowed an OPS of just .634 (88 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .388 (50 Total Bases / 129 ABs) when behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .592 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 36% (60/167) against Drew Rasmussen when he was behind in the count last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters had a chase rate of 42% (245/578) against Kevin Gausman last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 39% (570/1,446) against Kevin Gausman last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman allowed a BABIP of .363 last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — second Percentile.
Hitters swung at 56% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (1,602/2,878) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 36-10 (.783) when scoring in the first inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are just 4-57 (.066) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Blue Jays are 68-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Blue Jays are 104-88 (.542) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Blue Jays are 78-20 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rays batted just .201 with runners on base over the last 30 days of the regular season (29 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters have grounded into 205 double plays in 2,580 opportunities (8%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,888 strikeouts in 9,431 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Blue Jays batted .264 last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,433 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
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