• The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: RATV | RSN1

The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on May 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Rays are 26-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 17-23 ATS.

Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 2-1, 2.92 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 2-2, 3.02 ERA

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+22.00 Units / 550% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 79% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 61% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.40 Units / 58% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 71% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 24-15 against the Run Line (+10.4 Units / 20.61% ROI).

• 26-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 29.83% ROI
• 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -9.39% ROI
• 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.12% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 17-23 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -17.23% ROI).

• 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -20.13% ROI
• 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -9.06% ROI
• 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 1.03% ROI

Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 23-2 (.920) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Rays are 5-11 (.312) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Rays are 14-3 (.824) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (27th in runs scored).

The Rays are 19-6 (.760) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Blue Jays are just 1-6 (.143) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (sixth in runs allowed).

The Blue Jays are 15-71 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 18-68 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters are slugging .309 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .214 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 59 extra-base hits out of 225 total hits (just 26%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Rays have allowed 1.79 runs per game (70/39) in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.22 (81.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (51.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 66% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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