- The Blue Jays are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: FSUN | RSN1 | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-160) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 25-16 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 2-4, 3.89 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 3-2, 3.35 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -170 | O 8 -110 | +135 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -110 | -160 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.95 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 99% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.55 Units / 48% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+9.45 Units / 103% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.44 Units / 59% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 18-23 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -12.66% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.32 Units / -10.36% ROI
- 16-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -20.46% ROI
- 23-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 12.83% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 25-16 against the Run Line (+6.6 Units / 11.27% ROI).
- 20-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.76 Units / -1.62% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -1.23% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -6.49% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a batting average of .303 vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– fourth Percentile and just .190 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for ninth best among qualified SPs)– 88th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of .803 (53 Total Bases / 66 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .413 — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .318 (21-for-66) against Chris Bassitt’s non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — fourth Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (15 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .323 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season (217 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 15-145 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are 4-19 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Rays are 8-5 (.615) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Rays are 130-22 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 9-5 (.643) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Rays (29th best runs scored) today.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 30-17 (.638) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays are just 12-4 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rays are batting just .198 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .577 (487 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .243 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .387 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
29% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters had an OPS of just .653 (1,419 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 60% of the time this month (11 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. this month (11 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 32% with two-strikes this month (11 game{NumGameSuffix}) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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