- The Rays (79-62) are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays (80-62)
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (10-4), 2.56 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (7-4), 3.02 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Wednesday, September 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 76-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 59-80 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -120 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 +100 | -110 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Wednesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Drew Rasmussen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 47 games at home (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +100 |
| Drew Rasmussen | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 66-69 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -1.63% ROI).
- 76-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -1.62% ROI
- 62-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -6.48% ROI
- 67-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.55% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 59-80 against the Run Line (-25.7 Units / -15.52% ROI).
- 78-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -8.29% ROI
- 69-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -3.28% ROI
- 67-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -6.24% ROI
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .664 (132 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 1.056 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (25/46) against Drew Rasmussen on the first pitch of at-bats — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .227 (27-for-119) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to August 7th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (7/29) against Ross Stripling — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 381.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Left-handed batters are hitting just .088 (3-for-34) against Ross Stripling — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .209 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Ross Stripling this month (2 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 96th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are just 66-9 (.880) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 35-10 (.778) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Rays are 47-8 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Rays are 120-62 (.659) at home since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 67-18 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 67-3 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays are 14-11 (.560) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 40-32 (.556) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 46 PA’s (7%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays are batting .400 against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .478 (46 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rays hitters have not struck out in 20 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays hitters have just 206 strikeouts in 1,086 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,723 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 64 of 1,261 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 336 of 5,182 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 940 of 13,392 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 836 of 11,216 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 22 of 503 batters (4%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 21 of 467 batters (4%) this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3 of 124 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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