- The Blue Jays (81-62) are -135 favorites vs the Rays (79-63)
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (11-5), 2.19 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (12-9), 3.30 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Thursday, September 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 76-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-80 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -120 | +110 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | U 7 +100 | -135 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Thursday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+9.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games at home (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
| Shane McClanahan | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 66-70 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -2.85% ROI).
- 76-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -2.12% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -7.11% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -0.9% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 60-80 against the Run Line (-23.95 Units / -14.38% ROI).
- 79-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -7.82% ROI
- 69-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -3.91% ROI
- 68-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -5.54% ROI
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (381/1,078) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .224 (469 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .304 (327 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .470 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .150 (327 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .417 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (490/1,238) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (1,366/2,444) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (121/430) against Kevin Gausman this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 35-10 (.778) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Rays are 47-8 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Rays are just 66-9 (.880) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 47-24 (.662) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 60-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .883.
The Blue Jays are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays are 68-18 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 14-11 (.560) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 46 PA’s (7%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 46 PA’s (7%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have not struck out in 16 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays are batting .400 against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .813 (3,976 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .327 (4,328 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,731 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 64 of 1,269 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 338 of 5,216 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 942 of 13,426 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 365 of 5,336 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 838 of 11,252 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 23 of 503 batters (5%) this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3 of 124 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Alejandro Kirk (Blue Jays): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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