- The Brewers (59-50) are -155 favorites vs the Rays (58-51)
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (4-3), 2.49 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (9-3), 3.49 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-155) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rays vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 58-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 46-63 ATS.
Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -120 | +125 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 +100 | -155 |
Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 76.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+13.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 -110 |
| Jeffrey Springs | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 16 games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 89 games (+17.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 89 games (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 50-59 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.32% ROI).
- 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -6.35% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.26% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 46-63 against the Run Line (-21.9 Units / -16.52% ROI).
- 59-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -10.23% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.07% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -9.75% ROI
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (101/254) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (418/949) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (91 Total Bases / 174 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (237/663) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Woodruff has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to June 28th — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 10.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (137/359) against Brandon Woodruff this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (86/253) against Brandon Woodruff on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (42/54) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rays are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Rays are 38-6 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rays are 86-16 (.843) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Brewers are 127-21 (.858) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 766 strikeouts in 3,156 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rays are batting just .158 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .467 (2,185 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Rays hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .326 (3,029 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Brewers hitters have 642 strikeouts in 2,649 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 262 of 4,005 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 698 of 10,003 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 182 of 2,963 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 51 of 973 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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