Rays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (59-50) are -155 favorites vs the Rays (58-51)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (4-3), 2.49 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (9-3), 3.49 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-155) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rays vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 58-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 46-63 ATS.

Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -165O 7.5 -120+125
Brewers -1.5 +135U 7.5 +100-155

Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 76.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+13.55 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)

Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Christian Yelich 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Keston Hiura 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Luis Urias 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Christian Yelich 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Keston Hiura 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Luis Urias 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Christian Yelich 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Keston Hiura 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Luis Urias 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Woodruff 7.5 -130 7.5 -110
Jeffrey Springs 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 16 games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 89 games (+17.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 89 games (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 50-59 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.32% ROI).

  • 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -6.35% ROI
  • 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.43% ROI
  • 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.26% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 46-63 against the Run Line (-21.9 Units / -16.52% ROI).

  • 59-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -10.23% ROI
  • 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.07% ROI
  • 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -9.75% ROI

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (101/254) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (418/949) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (91 Total Bases / 174 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (237/663) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Woodruff has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to June 28th — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 10.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (137/359) against Brandon Woodruff this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (86/253) against Brandon Woodruff on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.

Brandon Woodruff has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (42/54) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rays are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rays are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rays are 38-6 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Rays are 86-16 (.843) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Brewers are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Brewers are 127-21 (.858) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

Rays hitters have 766 strikeouts in 3,156 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Rays are batting just .158 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .467 (2,185 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

Rays hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .326 (3,029 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Brewers hitters have 642 strikeouts in 2,649 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Rays pitchers have walked 262 of 4,005 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 698 of 10,003 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 182 of 2,963 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 51 of 973 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.