- The Brewers (58-50) are -160 favorites vs the Rays (58-50)
- Rays starting pitcher: James Yacabonis (1-1), 9.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta (3-2), 4.46 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-160) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 58-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 45-63 ATS.
Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+12.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 away games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 50-58 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -6.3% ROI).
- 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -5.73% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.49% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.28% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 45-63 against the Run Line (-23.15 Units / -17.6% ROI).
- 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -10.9% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.09% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -9.84% ROI
James Yacabonis: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (418/949) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .309 (17-for-55) against Jeffrey Springs on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 15th highest among among 128 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .247 — 11th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has a strike rate of 70% (282/405) in two strike counts this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 88th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OPS of .808 (191 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — 14th highest among among 140 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .675 — 10th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .104 (7 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .104 (7-for-67) against Freddy Peralta on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (26-for-179) against Freddy Peralta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .092 (44-for-476) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rays are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rays are 38-6 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Brewers are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Brewers are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 95-28 (.772) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 765 strikeouts in 3,152 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rays have scored 1.72 runs per game (460/267) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
Rays hitters have grounded into 138 double plays in 1,814 opportunities (8%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters have 960 strikeouts in 4,022 PA’s (24%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are slugging .441 against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .318 (236 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Brewers are batting just .229 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 258 of 3,969 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 50 of 965 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have walked 694 of 9,967 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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