Rays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Brewers (58-50) are -160 favorites vs the Rays (58-50)
  • Rays starting pitcher: James Yacabonis (1-1), 9.00 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta (3-2), 4.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-160) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rays vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 58-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 45-63 ATS.

Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -150O 8 -115+135
Brewers -1.5 +125U 8 -105-160

Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+12.55 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)

Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Christian Yelich 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Kolten Wong 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Luis Urias 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Christian Yelich 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Kolten Wong 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Luis Urias 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Christian Yelich 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Kolten Wong 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Luis Urias 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddy Peralta 6.5 +105 6.5 -155
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 away games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 50-58 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -6.3% ROI).

  • 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -5.73% ROI
  • 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.49% ROI
  • 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.28% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 45-63 against the Run Line (-23.15 Units / -17.6% ROI).

  • 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -10.9% ROI
  • 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.09% ROI
  • 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -9.84% ROI

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (418/949) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .309 (17-for-55) against Jeffrey Springs on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 15th highest among among 128 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .247 — 11th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has a strike rate of 70% (282/405) in two strike counts this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 88th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OPS of .808 (191 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — 14th highest among among 140 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .675 — 10th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .104 (7 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .104 (7-for-67) against Freddy Peralta on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .145 (26-for-179) against Freddy Peralta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .092 (44-for-476) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rays are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rays are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Rays are 38-6 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Brewers are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Brewers are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 95-28 (.772) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Rays hitters have 765 strikeouts in 3,152 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Rays have scored 1.72 runs per game (460/267) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

Rays hitters have grounded into 138 double plays in 1,814 opportunities (8%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rays hitters have 960 strikeouts in 4,022 PA’s (24%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters are slugging .441 against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .318 (236 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Brewers are batting just .229 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rays pitchers have walked 258 of 3,969 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 50 of 965 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rays pitchers have walked 694 of 9,967 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.