- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Rays vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 39-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 27-25 ATS.
Rays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -115 | -125 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Rays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+19.15 Units / 113% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+10.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 45 games (+20.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cubs vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Wander Franco | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 55 games (+19.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 55 games (+18.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+17.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-23 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 17.55% ROI).
- 39-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.5 Units / 20.4% ROI
- 34-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.8 Units / 22.72% ROI
- 18-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -32.61% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 27-25 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 2.79% ROI).
- 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -16.57% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 8% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -17.28% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 34% (34 SO in 101 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (20/62) against Taj Bradley this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
7 of Taj Bradley’s 34 strikeouts (21%) have come on cutters this season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 93rd Percentile.
Taj Bradley has walked 4 of 101 batters (4%) this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (262/505) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 14 of 60 batters (23%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastball low 52% of the time (262/505) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 82% (18/22) against Marcus Stroman — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rays are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Rays are 39-16 (.709) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Cubs are just 5-10 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .961 (400 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
Rays hitters are slugging .587 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Rays hitters are slugging .499 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 71% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .274 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are slugging .477 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Rays pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 6.77 (102.1 IP) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Cubs pitchers have walked 32 of 454 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
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