Rays vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 29

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 29, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Rays vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rays are 39-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 27-25 ATS.

Rays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +140O 8 -115-125
Cubs +1.5 -165U 8 -105+105

Rays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rays vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+19.15 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+10.75 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 45 games (+20.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)

Cubs vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jose Siri 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Wander Franco 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Taylor Walls 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Cubs vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jose Siri 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Wander Franco 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Taylor Walls 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Cubs vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Jose Siri 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Wander Franco 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Taylor Walls 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Cubs vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taj Bradley 5.5 +105 5.5 -135
Marcus Stroman 4.5 -155 4.5 +120
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 55 games (+19.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 55 games (+18.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+17.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-23 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 17.55% ROI).

  • 39-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.5 Units / 20.4% ROI
  • 34-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.8 Units / 22.72% ROI
  • 18-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -32.61% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 27-25 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 2.79% ROI).

  • 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -16.57% ROI
  • 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 8% ROI
  • 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -17.28% ROI

Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 34% (34 SO in 101 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (20/62) against Taj Bradley this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

7 of Taj Bradley’s 34 strikeouts (21%) have come on cutters this season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 93rd Percentile.

Taj Bradley has walked 4 of 101 batters (4%) this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (262/505) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has walked 14 of 60 batters (23%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his fastball low 52% of the time (262/505) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 82% (18/22) against Marcus Stroman — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Rays are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Rays are 39-16 (.709) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Cubs are just 5-10 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .961 (400 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

Rays hitters are slugging .587 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Rays hitters are slugging .499 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 71% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs are batting just .274 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cubs hitters are slugging .477 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Rays pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 6.77 (102.1 IP) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Cubs pitchers have walked 32 of 454 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Cubs vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
  • Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
  • Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
  • Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60

Bet now on Rays vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.