- The Rays are -200 favorites vs the Cubs
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Tampa Bay Rays (-200) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+165) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Rays vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 39-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 28-25 ATS.
Rays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rays | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -105 | -200 |
Cubs | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -115 | +165 |
Rays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 81.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+18.15 Units / 101% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 46 games (+21.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+11.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Cubs vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Cubs vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games (+18.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 56 games (+17.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 49 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+1.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-24 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 15.72% ROI).
- 39-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.25 Units / 18.76% ROI
- 34-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.75 Units / 20.63% ROI
- 19-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -30.37% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 28-25 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 4.23% ROI).
- 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -14.67% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 6.06% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -15.22% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .208 (5-for-24) against Shane McClanahan on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (63/199) against Shane McClanahan this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has 24 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (5-for-44) against Shane McClanahan with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (104 Total Bases / 183 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .392 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (76/276) against Kyle Hendricks since last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.1 MPH on fastballs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Rays are 39-17 (.696) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 19-5 (.792) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are just 5-10 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .609.
The Cubs are just 1-96 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .583 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .956 (404 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .527 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
26% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rays pitchers have walked 558 of 8,007 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 117 of 1,941 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,303 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have walked 33 of 472 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 477 times this season — fewest in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
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