- The Rays are -200 favorites vs the Cubs
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Tampa Bay Rays (-200) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+165) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Rays vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 39-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 28-25 ATS.
Rays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -105 | -200 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -115 | +165 |
Rays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 81.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+18.15 Units / 101% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 46 games (+21.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+11.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Cubs vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Cubs vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games (+18.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 56 games (+17.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 49 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+1.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-24 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 15.72% ROI).
- 39-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.25 Units / 18.76% ROI
- 34-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.75 Units / 20.63% ROI
- 19-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -30.37% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 28-25 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 4.23% ROI).
- 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -14.67% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 6.06% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -15.22% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .208 (5-for-24) against Shane McClanahan on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (63/199) against Shane McClanahan this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has 24 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (5-for-44) against Shane McClanahan with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (104 Total Bases / 183 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .392 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (76/276) against Kyle Hendricks since last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.1 MPH on fastballs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Rays are 39-17 (.696) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 19-5 (.792) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are just 5-10 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .609.
The Cubs are just 1-96 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .583 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .956 (404 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .527 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
26% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rays pitchers have walked 558 of 8,007 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 117 of 1,941 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,303 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have walked 33 of 472 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 477 times this season — fewest in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
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