Rays vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 31, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Tampa Bay Rays (-140) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rays vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rays are 39-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-25 ATS.

Rays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +120O 8.5 -110-140
Cubs +1.5 -145U 8.5 -110+120

Rays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rays vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+17.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+9.15 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 47 games (+19.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)

Cubs vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manuel Margot 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jose Siri 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Cubs vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manuel Margot 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Harold Ramirez 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Siri 0.5 -120 0.5 -105

Cubs vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manuel Margot 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Jose Siri 0.5 +270 0.5 -375

Cubs vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Eflin 5.5 +125 5.5 -160
Justin Steele 4.5 -135 4.5 +100
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 57 games (+17.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 57 games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.85 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-25 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 13.77% ROI).

  • 39-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.6 Units / 16.67% ROI
  • 34-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.6 Units / 18.43% ROI
  • 20-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.65 Units / -28.26% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 29-25 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 5.65% ROI).

  • 24-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -12.12% ROI
  • 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 4.02% ROI
  • 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -13.26% ROI

Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (9/106 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.

Zach Eflin allowed a batting average of .282 vs right-handed batters (tied for 10th worst)– 15th Percentile and just .190 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (21/211 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 106 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (133/262) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (438/972) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (319/658) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (133/262) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Rays are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Rays are 39-18 (.684) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Cubs are just 2-21 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Rays hitters are slugging .583 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Rays hitters are slugging .624 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .956 (404 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cubs hitters have been successful in 100% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

Cubs hitters have 500 strikeouts in 2,070 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Rays pitchers have walked 562 of 8,041 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 483 times this season — fewest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have walked 33 of 481 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cubs vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
  • Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
  • Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
  • Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.