- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Cubs
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Tampa Bay Rays (-140) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 39-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-25 ATS.
Rays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -110 | -140 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Rays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+17.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+9.15 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 47 games (+19.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Cubs vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cubs vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Harold Ramirez | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Cubs vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Cubs vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
| Justin Steele | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 57 games (+17.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 57 games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-25 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 13.77% ROI).
- 39-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.6 Units / 16.67% ROI
- 34-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.6 Units / 18.43% ROI
- 20-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.65 Units / -28.26% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 29-25 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 5.65% ROI).
- 24-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -12.12% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 4.02% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -13.26% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (9/106 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin allowed a batting average of .282 vs right-handed batters (tied for 10th worst)– 15th Percentile and just .190 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (21/211 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 106 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (133/262) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (438/972) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (319/658) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (133/262) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Rays are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Rays are 39-18 (.684) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Cubs are just 2-21 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .583 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Rays hitters are slugging .624 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .956 (404 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 100% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Cubs hitters have 500 strikeouts in 2,070 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays pitchers have walked 562 of 8,041 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 483 times this season — fewest in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have walked 33 of 481 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
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