Rays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Rays
  • Rays vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Rays / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FSUN | MLBN

The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.

This season, the Rays are 9-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 13-10 ATS.

Rays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 2-1, 5.24 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 1-2, 4.09 ERA

Rays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -180O 9 -115+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +145U 9 -105-150

Rays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+12.30 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 away games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tim Tawa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+18.10 Units / 362% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tim Tawa has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+10.85 Units / 181% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 8-15 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -29.83% ROI).

  • 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -24.55% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -16.21% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 9.8% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-10 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 14.21% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 10.07% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.78% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -4.72% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Christopher Morel (TB) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525
Danny Jansen (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Pavin Smith (ARI) 0.5 +525 0.5 -800

Diamondbacks vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jake Mangum (TB) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Curtis Mead (TB) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Diamondbacks vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Pavin Smith (ARI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220

Diamondbacks vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
Taj Bradley (TB) 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.118 (19 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.

Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (23/51) over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.

Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (47/95) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Taj Bradley’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 93rd Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Eduardo Rodriguez when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — third Percentile.

Opponents batted just .175 (14-for-80) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (145/507) against Eduardo Rodriguez since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 60% (29 SO in 48 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rays are just 5-8 (.385) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rays are 89-23 (.795) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .739.

The Rays are 5-1 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .616.

The Rays are 90-66 (.573) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Diamondbacks are 3-9 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .081.

The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Diamondbacks are 10-134 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rays have a winning percentage of just 0% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Rays hitters are slugging just .366 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 14% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 13% of it’s PA’s against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rays pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.