- The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rays vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 54-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 48-31 ATS.
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -130 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 69% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 away games (+9.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+14.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+18.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 81 games (+15.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 81 games (+14.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+11.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 78 games (+17.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 games (+17.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+11.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 71 games (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 45-36 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 10.71% ROI).
- 54-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.3 Units / 10.55% ROI
- 45-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 10.52% ROI
- 32-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.65 Units / -19.86% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 48-31 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 15.78% ROI).
- 47-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.6 Units / 16.62% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -5.71% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (41/119) against Taj Bradley this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (40/101) against Taj Bradley on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 68% (19 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OBP of just .071 (28 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .307 (211 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .496 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (23-for-199) against Zac Gallen with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .166 — 92nd Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .619 (394 PA’s) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .703 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (63/165) against Zac Gallen with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rays are 51-22 (.699) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rays are 10-10 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays are 35-18 (.660) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Rays are 15-7 (.682) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Diamondbacks are 11-3 (.786) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Diamondbacks are just 105-9 (.921) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are 35-3 (.921) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are just 88-22 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .479 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays hitters are slugging .478 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays are batting .262 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rays hitters are slugging .459 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/9,008) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,531 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 229 of 3,622 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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