- The Rays are -155 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Tampa Bay Rays (-155) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+130) on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rays vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 54-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 49-31 ATS.
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -105 | -155 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -115 | +130 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 71.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 away games (+9.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+15.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Davies | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
| Zach Eflin | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 82 games (+19.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 82 games (+13.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 82 games (+13.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 77 games (+18.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+18.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games (+10.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 45-37 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 8.76% ROI).
- 54-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.3 Units / 9.74% ROI
- 46-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.4 Units / 11.5% ROI
- 32-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -20.89% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 49-31 against the Run Line (+17.25 Units / 17.16% ROI).
- 48-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.6 Units / 17.4% ROI
- 39-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.23% ROI
- 36-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -6.96% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .219 (160 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 15 of 328 batters (5%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (65/119) against Zach Eflin this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 89th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OPS of just .541 (160 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .725 — 96th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Zach Davies with two-strikes over the last 14 days (3 games) — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .170 — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (16 Total Bases / 24 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (3 games) — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 65% of the time (1,020/1,581) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has an ERA of 15.19 (10.2 IP) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.77 — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rays are 23-8 (.742) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
The Rays are 10-10 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays are 51-23 (.689) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rays are 10-2 (.833) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Diamondbacks are 36-3 (.923) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-22 (.802) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 106-9 (.922) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are just 26-12 (.684) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have a winning percentage of 77% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .478 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rays hitters are slugging .552 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Rays hitters are slugging .479 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/9,008) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks have scored 138 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 136 of 2,160 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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