- The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Thursday, June 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rays vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 55-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 50-31 ATS.
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 10 -110 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 10 -110 | -125 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.40 Units / 90% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+12.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -175 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 83 games (+14.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+12.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 78 games (+19.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+17.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 73 games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 73 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 45-38 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 7.64% ROI).
- 55-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.3 Units / 10.36% ROI
- 46-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 10.28% ROI
- 33-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -19.52% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 50-31 against the Run Line (+18.25 Units / 17.94% ROI).
- 48-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.6 Units / 16.25% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -5.73% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (97 Total Bases / 165 ABs) versus the top of the order since the 2021 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .595 (50 Total Bases / 84 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .372 — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has a first-pitch strike rate of 84% (21/25) over the last 14 days (4 games) — 3rd highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (28-for-84) against Zack Littell when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rays are 10-10 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays are 10-2 (.833) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Rays are 16-8 (.667) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 35-19 (.648) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Diamondbacks are 36-4 (.900) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-23 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are 11-3 (.786) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Diamondbacks are just 106-10 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have a winning percentage of 77% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .474 with bases empty this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 66% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging .454 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/9,044) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 136 of 2,177 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 59% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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