- The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
- Giants starting pitcher: Ryan Walker
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Wednesday, August 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Rays vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 72-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 57-62 ATS.
Rays vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -120 | +100 |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 +100 | -120 |
Rays vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Aaron Civale has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
Giants vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Michael Conforto | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Wilmer Flores | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Michael Conforto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wilmer Flores | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Michael Conforto | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Wilmer Flores | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Ryan Walker | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -125 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+3.74 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 73 games (+24.94 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.79 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 54 games at home (+3.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 61-60 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.14% ROI).
- 72-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 63-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 2.62% ROI
- 54-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -11.24% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 57-62 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -6.14% ROI).
- 63-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -2.36% ROI
- 50-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.35 Units / -17.63% ROI
- 66-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.95 Units / 9.23% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has not allowed a home run in any of the last 30.2 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 97.0.
Aaron Civale has thrown his cutter 45% of the time (652/1,454) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total CUT; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to July 19th — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 17.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (42/244) against Aaron Civale this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Walker has walked 2 of 67 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Ryan Walker has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (96/180) this season — 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Ryan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of just .136 (3 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .395 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (43/137) against Ryan Walker on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Rays are 14-21 (.400) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Rays are 39-10 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
The Rays are 72-50 (.590) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Giants are 31-25 (.554) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are 19-11 (.633) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Giants are 40-6 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Giants are just 19-33 (.365) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 37 strikeouts in 99 PA’s (37%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays have scored first in 61% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 135 strikeouts in 384 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Giants hitters are slugging just .403 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Giants hitters have 810 strikeouts in 3,246 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 731 of 10,422 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have not picked-off any runners from first base this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 67 of 1,071 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Kevin Kelly (Rays): Undisclosed, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Knee, D10
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
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