• The Rays are +100 favorites vs the Guardians
• Rays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
• Rays / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on April 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Rays are 18-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 15-16 ATS.

Rays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 2-0, 2.46 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 4-1, 3.25 ERA

Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.10 Units / 201% ROI)
• Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+16.40 Units / 182% ROI)
• Kyle Manzardo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Gavin Williams has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.25 Units / 62% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+8.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 18-11 against the Run Line (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI).

• 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 21.64% ROI
• 16-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 11.81% ROI
• 11-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -21.68% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 15-16 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -4.51% ROI).

• 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.84% ROI
• 15-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -7.03% ROI
• 16-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI

Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rays are 15-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Rays are 13-4 (.765) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rays are 6-1 (.857) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Guardians (25th in runs scored).

The Rays are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Guardians are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Guardians are 38-4 (.884) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

The Guardians are 11-4 (.733) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Guardians are 14-8 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .204 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .226 since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .225 against starting pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have struck out in 32% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are averaging 4.13 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this month (24 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.73 (1714.1 IP) since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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