- The – (0-0) are favorites vs the – (0-0)
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (-), – ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Friday, October 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:07pm EDT in Cleveland.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 86-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 86-76 ATS.
Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 33 games at home (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games at home (+15.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Triston McKenzie has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Shane Bieber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Guardians vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Shane McClanahan | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 79-83 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -2.82% ROI).
- 86-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -3.81% ROI
- 71-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 81-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 0.85% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 86-76 against the Run Line (+7.85 Units / 3.9% ROI).
- 92-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.8 Units / 9.61% ROI
- 75-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 78-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -2.57% ROI
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .246 (639 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .192 (97-for-504) against Shane McClanahan this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 91st Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .065 (31 PA’s) in late innings this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed a slugging percentage of just .181 (63 Total Bases / 348 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 95th Percentile.
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (89/266) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 59% of the time (471/793) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 57% of the time (560/990) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 69% of the time (1,053/1,534) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rays are 51-30 (.630) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rays are 88-29 (.752) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Rays are 102-90 (.531) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 52-7 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Guardians are 46-35 (.568) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (8%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rays hitters have grounded into 26 double plays in 405 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 795 strikeouts in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,122 strikeouts in 6,163 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,433 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (686.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Guardians pitchers have walked 25 of 480 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Colin Poche (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Foot, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
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