- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Guardians
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Tampa Bay Rays (-120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+100) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rays vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 0-0 ATS.
Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -120 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -115 | +100 |
Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Logan Allen | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 75 of their last 134 games (+8.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 92 games (+11.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 68% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 8 of 266 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has located his breaking pitches away 86% of the time (48/56) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .302 (77-for-255) against Zack Littell since last season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — sixth Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 21 of 436 batters (5%) since last season — tied for 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .114 (23-for-201) against Luis Severino when behind in the count in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .192 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Allen has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (399/1,491) against right-handed batters this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .191 (13-for-68) against Logan Allen’s inside fastball this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 96th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of just .548 (203 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .669 — 87th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rays are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rays are 59-31 (.656) after a home win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Rays are 44-11 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Guardians are 32-103 (.237) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 16-46 (.258) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Guardians are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.08 (380.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Guardians pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (616.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
The Guardians have allowed 3.82 runs per game (256/67) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Guardians vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
- Gavin Williams (Guardians): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
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