• The Rays are -102 favorites vs the Mariners
• Rays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Rays / Mariners TV Channel: ATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (-102) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-118) on August 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Rays are 68-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 44-72 ATS.

Rays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 10-5, 2.91 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 8-6, 3.46 ERA

Rays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Fortes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+27.00 Units / 450% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Drew Rasmussen has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+4.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 64-49 against the Run Line (+23.5 Units / 17.16% ROI).

• 68-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 9.98% ROI
• 50-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -11.55% ROI
• 59-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.89% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 44-72 against the Run Line (-19.85 Units / -15.75% ROI).

• 56-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.05 Units / -12.73% ROI
• 58-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.6% ROI
• 51-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -9.82% ROI

Mariners vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rays were 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rays were 16-64 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays were just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Mariners were 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners were 18-1 (.947) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .262 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .280 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .202 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .219 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 68 extra-base hits out of 248 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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