- The Rays (70-57) are -225 favorites vs the Marlins (55-73)
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (11-5), 2.19 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo (3-5), 3.33 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Tampa Bay Rays (-225) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+185) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rays vs Marlins Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 67-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-68 ATS.
Rays vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -120 | O 6.5 -115 | -225 |
| Marlins | +1.5 +100 | U 6.5 -105 | +185 |
Rays vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+16.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+13.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+10.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 60 games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 23 away games (+2.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 60-64 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.4% ROI).
- 67-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -5.32% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2.49% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 58-68 against the Run Line (-20.2 Units / -12.1% ROI).
- 55-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.75 Units / -13.12% ROI
- 54-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.5 Units / -13.21% ROI
- 66-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 5.25% ROI
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has struck out 33% (157/470) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (97-for-525) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (381/1,078) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (19/26) against Shane McClanahan — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Jesús Luzardo: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .783 (36 Total Bases / 46 ABs) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .397 — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of 1.186 (53 PA’s) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .694 — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.1 innings pitched — Adam Wainwright has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (7-for-45) against Jesus Luzardo — tied for 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 92nd Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are 44-8 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rays are 28-8 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Rays are 12-10 (.545) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins are just 44-7 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Marlins are just 8-31 (.205) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Marlins are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Marlins are just 26-36 (.419) at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 1,841 strikeouts in 7,560 PA’s (24%) against RHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays have scored 444 runs in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Rays hitters have drawn 222 walks in 1,859 PA’s (12%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 64% at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 771 strikeouts in 2,763 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 305 strikeouts in 1,067 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .626 (2,763 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .264 (1,067 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 301 of 4,673 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 737 of 10,671 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 905 of 12,883 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 58 of 1,138 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Marlins have won just 23% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed the 4th hardest ball in play hit (115.0 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.1).
Marlins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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