- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Thursday, May 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 32-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 16-28 ATS.
Rays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Mets | U |
Rays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+18.05 Units / 113% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 50% ROI)
Mets vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Mets vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Taj Bradley | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 44 games (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+11.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 27-17 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 21.98% ROI).
- 32-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.2 Units / 21.69% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 14.49% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -24.3% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 16-28 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -24.58% ROI).
- 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -21.16% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -11.67% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 2.19% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (67/134) of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 57% (213/372) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 63% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (41/271) against Tylor Megill in non-two strike counts this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tylor Megill vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season is 414.8 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 398.4
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rays are 7-4 (.636) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Rays are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 8-8 (.500) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Rays are 19-2 (.905) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mets are 108-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 2-4 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Mets are 104-6 (.945) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Mets are 41-25 (.621) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .919 (309 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rays hitters are slugging .556 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rays hitters are slugging .350 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .858 (1,705 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .331 (4,225 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Mets hitters have just 329 strikeouts in 1,656 PA’s (20%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .355 (910 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Mets are batting .260 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Tomás Nido (Mets): Eye, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Yandy DÃaz (Rays): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
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