- The Rays are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Rays vs Nationals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 3-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 1-2 ATS.
Rays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -110 | O 7.5 +100 | -185 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -120 | +150 |
Rays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 138% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 110% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
- Israel Pineda has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 100% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
Nationals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nationals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
| Trevor Williams | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 away games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 away games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 43 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 3-0 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 103.28% ROI).
- 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 45.8% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -37.5% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 23.53% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -32.26% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -15% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .268 (101-for-377) against Drew Rasmussen in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen allowed an OPS of just .634 (88 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .233 (30-for-129) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .279 (91 Total Bases / 326 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .392 — 97th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams struck out just 9% (13/148) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams had a strike rate of just 50% (132/265) on sliders in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit .319 (44-for-138) against Trevor Williams in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — fifth Percentile.
Trevor Williams threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 50% (296/591) of the time in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rays were 19-22 (.463) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Rays are 10-105 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays were 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays were 37-23 (.617) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Nationals are just 105-12 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals were just 17-32 (.347) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 78-45 (.634) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Nationals were just 26-55 (.321) at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 64% at home since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rays hitters have 357 strikeouts in 1,100 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 301 double plays in 2,355 opportunities (13%) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
The Nationals won only 34% of games in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals hitters have just 789 strikeouts in 3,842 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 826 of 12,029 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,932 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 75 of 1,443 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.35 (677.2 IP) on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
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