- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 5-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 1-4 ATS.
Rays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Nationals | U |
Rays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 138% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 110% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
- Israel Pineda has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 100% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
Nationals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Garrett | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Nationals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Garrett | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -160 |
Nationals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Garrett | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +125 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 81 of their last 169 games (+8.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 168 games (+4.28 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 169 games (+3.35 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 169 games (+1.45 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 57 away games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 56 of their last 92 games (+15.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 1 games (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 5-0 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 96.26% ROI).
- 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 50.51% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -59.62% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -49% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -2.7% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -1.83% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .194 (116-for-597) against Shane McClanahan in 2022 — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.
Shane McClanahan allowed an OBP of just .246 (639 PA’s) in 2022 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .559 (663 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .126 (44-for-348) against Shane McClanahan with two-strikes in 2022 — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — 93rd Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .363 (110-for-303) against Patrick Corbin on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Corbin allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (128 Total Bases / 225 ABs) on non-fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .367 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had an ERA of 7.75 (67.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.02 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has located his pitches away 63% of the time (757/1,210) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rays are 10-105 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 21-94 (.183) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Rays are just 31-30 (.508) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Rays are just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Nationals are just 106-12 (.898) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals are just 61-48 (.560) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Nationals are just 18-96 (.158) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals were just 17-32 (.347) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of 1.055 (121 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Rays hitters are slugging .650 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Rays hitters have an OPS of 1.063 (56 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Rays hitters have just 20 strikeouts in 121 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .206 (102 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .232 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Nationals hitters have just 7 strikeouts in 79 PA’s (9%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 303 double plays in 2,373 opportunities (13%) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 829 of 12,106 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 75 of 1,443 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 169 of 2,950 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
Bet now on Rays vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
