• The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Rays / Orioles TV Channel: ATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on August 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rays are 76-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 66-61 ATS.

Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-10, 5.32 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 8-8, 4.18 ERA

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan Vilade has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+21.40 Units / 238% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+18.20 Units / 455% ROI)
• Carlos Narváez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Carlos Narváez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Carlos Narváez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.50 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 69-56 against the Run Line (+21.8 Units / 14.4% ROI).

• 76-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.95 Units / 9.12% ROI
• 58-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -8.47% ROI
• 64-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.11% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 66-61 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI).

• 61-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -7.13% ROI
• 64-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -1.38% ROI
• 60-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -6.98% ROI

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 12-41 (.226) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 50-26 (.658) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 74-39 (.655) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 36-14 (.720) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Orioles (15th in runs scored).

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 15-52 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 14-7 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are 12-41 (.226) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 50-26 (.658) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 74-39 (.655) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 36-14 (.720) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Orioles (15th in runs scored).

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 15-52 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are 35-26 (.574) against the run line (16.5% ROI) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 37 of 699 batters (5%) this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 30 of 506 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this month (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have walked 40 of 495 batters (8%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 8 of 63 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed an OBP of .354 (113 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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