Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

Baltimore Orioles' Adley Rutschman in action during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
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The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on August 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rays are 76-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 67-61 ATS.

Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 9-6, 3.27 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 9-3, 3.55 ERA

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +125O 8 -110-135
Orioles +1.5 -155U 8 -110+110

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonny DeLuca has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+18.00 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+12.20 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 69-57 against the Run Line (+19.8 Units / 12.91% ROI).

  • 76-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 8.45% ROI
  • 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -7.68% ROI
  • 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -0.81% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 67-61 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 1.03% ROI).

  • 62-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -6.41% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.67% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -7.64% ROI

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +240
Pete Alonso +280
Tyler O'Neill +340
Coby Mayo +375
Christian Encarnacion-Strand +400

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Liam Hicks 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Pete Alonso 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Pete Alonso 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Ryan Vilade 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 29-41 (.414) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 12-42 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 50-26 (.658) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 31-5 (.861) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 14-7 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are 10-52 (.161) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .279 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .261 this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .254 against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.96 (325.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.03 runs per game (317/63) on the road this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.