- The Rays are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RATV
The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rays are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 12-4, 3.07 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-13, 3.99 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -170 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.30 Units / 204% ROI)
- Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+25.10 Units / 502% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Samuel Basallo has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | +220 |
| Junior Caminero | +230 |
| Samuel Basallo | +333 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +340 |
| Coby Mayo | +360 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Junior Caminero | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jackson Holliday | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Samuel Basallo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Coby Mayo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Junior Caminero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 31-5 (.861) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Rays are 63-15 (.808) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB.
The Rays are 29-42 (.408) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Rays are 36-14 (.720) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Orioles (16th in runs scored).
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are just 14-7 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
The Rays are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters are slugging .278 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
The Rays are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging .427 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.
Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.
Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Opponents are hitting .254 against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.
The Orioles have allowed 5.03 runs per game (317/63) on the road this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.86 (335.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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