Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Rays are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
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The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rays are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.

Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 12-4, 3.07 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-13, 3.99 ERA

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +140O 9 -115-115
Orioles +1.5 -170U 9 -105-105

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.30 Units / 204% ROI)
  • Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+25.10 Units / 502% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +220
Junior Caminero +230
Samuel Basallo +333
Gunnar Henderson +340
Coby Mayo +360

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Pete Alonso 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Junior Caminero 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taylor Walls 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Samuel Basallo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Coby Mayo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Junior Caminero 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Colton Cowser 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 31-5 (.861) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 63-15 (.808) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 29-42 (.408) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 36-14 (.720) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Orioles (16th in runs scored).

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 14-7 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .278 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging .427 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .254 against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.03 runs per game (317/63) on the road this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.86 (335.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.