- The Rays (52-44) are -190 favorites vs the Orioles (48-48)
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (10-3), 1.70 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (3-1), 3.93 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-190) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+155) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 52-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 62-34 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -110 | O 7.5 -105 | -190 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -115 | +155 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 away games (+17.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 34 away games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 away games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 39 games at home (+16.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games at home (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan Arauz | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonathan Arauz | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jonathan Arauz | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spenser Watkins | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
| Shane McClanahan | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+3.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 76 games (+23.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 76 games (+21.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -6.43% ROI).
- 52-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 44-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -7.05% ROI
- 48-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.83% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 62-34 against the Run Line (+21.9 Units / 17.49% ROI).
- 48-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +17 Units / 17.09% ROI
- 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -8.95% ROI
- 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.54% ROI
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 57% (147 SO in 256 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has struck out 37% (130/353) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 36% (147 SO in 412 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .492 (353 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 100th Percentile.
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Spenser Watkins this season is 419.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Spenser Watkins has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.1 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 53.1.
Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 14% (31 SO in 228 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has allowed an OBP of just .224 (67 PA’s) this month (3 games) — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 93rd Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Rays are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 70-7 (.909) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 21-29 (.420) on the road this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Orioles are 9-41 (.180) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 23-6 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 743 strikeouts in 3,079 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 19 double plays in 323 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays have scored 1.74 runs per game (444/255) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.
The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have drawn 488 walks in 6,398 PA’s (8%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .293 (4,910 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .228 (1,939 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Orioles hitters have drawn 615 walks in 8,150 PA’s (7%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 47 of 859 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have walked 140 of 2,321 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.00 (1029.2 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, Day-to-Day
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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