Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (52-44) are -190 favorites vs the Orioles (48-48)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (10-3), 1.70 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (3-1), 3.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-190) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+155) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 52-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 62-34 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 -110O 7.5 -105-190
Orioles +1.5 -110U 7.5 -115+155

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 away games (+17.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 34 away games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 away games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 39 games at home (+16.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games at home (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Anthony Santander 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Austin Hays 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Jonathan Arauz 0.5 +1050 0.5

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Anthony Santander 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Austin Hays 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jonathan Arauz 0.5 -110 0.5 -125

Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Anthony Santander 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Austin Hays 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Jonathan Arauz 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spenser Watkins 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
Shane McClanahan 7.5 -145 7.5 +100
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+3.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 76 games (+23.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 76 games (+21.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -6.43% ROI).

  • 52-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -3.52% ROI
  • 44-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -7.05% ROI
  • 48-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.83% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 62-34 against the Run Line (+21.9 Units / 17.49% ROI).

  • 48-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +17 Units / 17.09% ROI
  • 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -8.95% ROI
  • 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.54% ROI

Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 57% (147 SO in 256 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has struck out 37% (130/353) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 36% (147 SO in 412 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .492 (353 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 100th Percentile.

Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Spenser Watkins this season is 419.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 398.1

Spenser Watkins has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.1 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 53.1.

Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 14% (31 SO in 228 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has allowed an OBP of just .224 (67 PA’s) this month (3 games) — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 93rd Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Rays are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rays are 70-7 (.909) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 21-29 (.420) on the road this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Orioles are 9-41 (.180) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.

The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 23-6 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Rays hitters have 743 strikeouts in 3,079 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 19 double plays in 323 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rays have scored 1.74 runs per game (444/255) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.

The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Orioles hitters have drawn 488 walks in 6,398 PA’s (8%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .293 (4,910 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .228 (1,939 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Orioles hitters have drawn 615 walks in 8,150 PA’s (7%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 47 of 859 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rays pitchers have walked 140 of 2,321 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.00 (1029.2 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.