- The Rays (52-45) are -115 favorites vs the Orioles (49-48)
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (6-3), 3.12 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-6), 3.68 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 52-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 63-34 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | O 8 +100 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -120 | -105 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 71.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 away games (+14.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 10 games (+11.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+15.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games at home (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
| Drew Rasmussen | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+4.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 77 games (+24.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 77 games (+22.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-53 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -7.29% ROI).
- 52-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -4.8% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -6.03% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.79% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 63-34 against the Run Line (+22.9 Units / 18.12% ROI).
- 49-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.6 Units / 18.52% ROI
- 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -7.9% ROI
- 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.55% ROI
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% (46/96) against Drew Rasmussen on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (130/288) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .630 (53 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 1.032 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown fastballs up 82% of the time (119/145) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .134 (18-for-134) against Tyler Wells when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (12-for-71) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .341 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a slugging percentage of just .224 (30 Total Bases / 134 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (70/258) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Rays are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rays are 16-96 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Orioles are 28-19 (.596) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 744 strikeouts in 3,080 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 19 double plays in 327 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rays hitters are slugging .609 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 291 strikeouts in 1,151 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .299 (6,400 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 47 of 867 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 678 of 9,569 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 178 of 2,857 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 242 of 3,571 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.98 (1039.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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