Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 27, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Rays (52-45) are -115 favorites vs the Orioles (49-48)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (6-3), 3.12 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-6), 3.68 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 52-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 63-34 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +140O 8 +100-115
Orioles +1.5 -165U 8 -120-105

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 71.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 away games (+14.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 10 games (+11.05 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+15.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games at home (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Anthony Santander 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Austin Hays 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Anthony Santander 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Ramon Urias 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Anthony Santander 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Austin Hays 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Wells 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Drew Rasmussen 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+4.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 77 games (+24.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 77 games (+22.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-53 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -7.29% ROI).

  • 52-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -4.8% ROI
  • 45-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -6.03% ROI
  • 48-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.79% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 63-34 against the Run Line (+22.9 Units / 18.12% ROI).

  • 49-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.6 Units / 18.52% ROI
  • 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -7.9% ROI
  • 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.55% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% (46/96) against Drew Rasmussen on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (130/288) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .630 (53 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 1.032 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has thrown fastballs up 82% of the time (119/145) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .134 (18-for-134) against Tyler Wells when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (12-for-71) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .341 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed a slugging percentage of just .224 (30 Total Bases / 134 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (70/258) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Rays are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Rays are 16-96 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Orioles are 28-19 (.596) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

Rays hitters have 744 strikeouts in 3,080 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 19 double plays in 327 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Rays hitters are slugging .609 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Orioles hitters have 291 strikeouts in 1,151 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .299 (6,400 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rays pitchers have walked 47 of 867 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 678 of 9,569 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 178 of 2,857 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 242 of 3,571 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.98 (1039.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Francisco Mejía (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.