Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 17, 2022, 9:11 AM
  • The Rays (35-28) are -160 favorites vs the Orioles (28-37)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz (0-1), 19.28 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (1-1), 3.85 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Tampa Bay Rays (-160) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+135) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 35-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 39-26 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +100O 9 -120-160
Orioles +1.5 -120U 9 +100+135

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 28 away games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+6.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
    Austin Hays 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

    Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
    Anthony Santander 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Austin Hays 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

    Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Austin Hays 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

    Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Dean Kremer 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
    Shane Baz 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+17.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 1.7% ROI).

    • 35-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -3.06% ROI
    • 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -11.18% ROI
    • 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 3.28% ROI

    Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 39-26 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 9.31% ROI).

    • 28-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 5.85% ROI
    • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -3.45% ROI
    • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -4.21% ROI

    Shane Baz has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to October 2nd, 2021 — the longest active streak is 6.

    Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Dean Kremer has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.2 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 25.0.

    Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

    The Rays are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

    The Rays are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

    The Rays are 15-86 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    The Rays are 66-22 (.750) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

    Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

    The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Orioles are just 13-22 (.371) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

    The Orioles are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Orioles are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

    Rays hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 284 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Rays have scored 1.85 runs per game (410/222) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.

    Rays hitters have grounded into 109 double plays in 1,497 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Rays hitters have an OPS of just .443 (1,245 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

    The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Orioles hitters have 201 strikeouts in 796 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 566 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 121 of 2,028 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,556 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (1045.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 28% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

    Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.19 (940.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

    Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
  • Joseph Mancini (Orioles): Hang, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Left Achilles , Day-to-Day
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.